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In the 1950s, in presidential election results compiled by the Stanford political-scientist Jonathan Rodden, a countys population density was a poor predictor of how its residents voted. Today, the pattern is remarkably consistent: The denser the county, the more overwhelmingly its residents vote Democratic. This story could be written in one word, Perlstein said of that historical arc. The one word would be race. In the early days of white flight, two federal policies the construction of the interstate highway system and mortgage guarantees for the new suburbs pulled whites out of cities even as they were getting pushed by racial tension, desegregation and school busing. The people who go to the suburbs are not a random selection, said Jessica Trounstine, a political scientist at the University of California, Merced. They were the middle and upper class. They became homeowners. They prized neighborhoods of single-family houses. Those characteristics today all correlate with leaning Republican. These population shifts happen for reasons that are external to politics, Trounstine said, but politics is embedded in who goes. Metropolitan areas with more highway construction became more polarized over time between Democratic cities and Republican suburbs, according to research by Clayton Nall, a Stanford political scientist. Where highways were built, they helped sort people.
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